Does Everybody Know That?
When I was a kid, I used to sneak into my dad’s home office and pull Bill James books off
data and dice
UK Clash of Kings 2026 Recap: Northern Alliance Sweeps the Top, Orcs Stay Ordinary, and Unit Strength Still Matters
Antonio Carrasco won the 2026 UK Clash of Kings at 6–0 with Northern Alliance. Javier Talavero also went 6–0 with Northern
What Fourth Edition Changed at UK Clash of Kings: 2024–2026 Compared
UK Clash of Kings 2026 gives us something we have not had before: a very large UK field playing Fourth
The Consistency Gap: Which Kings of War Armies Produce the Most Predictable Results?
Faction win rate tells us how an army performed, but it does not tell us how that performance was distributed among
The Second-Order Meta: Which Armies Win Because of the Field Around Them?
Orcs were the most common faction across these 17 tournaments, accounting for 9.0% of recorded faction appearances. Their observed score
2026 Kings of War US Masters Preview: Goblins, Gunlines, and the 4E Damage Shift
The 2026 Kings of War US Masters field is hitting harder, but shooting is still a major part of the meta. A data-driven look at Goblins, gunlines, board saturation, ranged attacks, and the 4E damage shift.
2026 Kings of War US Masters Preview: The 4E Compression Test
A few days before the 2026 US Masters field came into focus, George O’Connell posted a set of public predictions
Early 4E Faction Diversity Looks Narrower, But the Comparison Is Messy
TL;DR: The early 4E tournament field is more faction-concentrated than the 2024–2025 sample. That is worth watching, but it is
The Submarine Lane Is Real, But Narrow: A 2026 Field Check on Kings of War Scoring Systems
Steve Tonneau’s scoring-system work gives tournament organizers better questions. The 2026 event data shows why those questions matter. A good
Kings of War Scene Health Update: Why the Data Is More Complicated Now
Back in September, I wrote that the Kings of War tournament scene looked healthy. The argument was pretty simple: the
Orcs in Kings of War 4th Edition: Best Units, Strategy, and Tournament Analysis
On paper, Orcs in 4th Edition look like one of the easiest armies in the game to understand. The old
Is Shooting Dead in Kings of War 4th Edition? The Data Says Not Quite
I just wrapped up a game with TastyBagel over at Regnum Aeternum. While we were playing, we were musing on